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COVID 19 Pandemic Special Site
SAFE Report #20200520-3
20.5.2020 Kunio Hirotani
Estimated when the COVID 19 crisis would end?
The end date is estimated by the defferential of the Gompertz curve, which reproduces a daily plot of the cumulative number of infected patients, as introduced in Figure 7 below. The calculation results are summarized in Table 3 for the 10 major countries in the world. Reported 20/05/2020.
In any case, the above estimation results need to be approved by experts in the field of novel coronavirus. Be careful whenever you use this information for others.
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